Random Thoughts on Investment for Retirement (Dec 2025)

In general I don’t want to give investment advices because everyone is different (wealth, objectives, pain tolerance, etc). However, some advices are so safe and sound that I feel it is worthwhile to share, better than watching people around me falling into some simple traps (impulse or intuition trading, coffee shop stock whispering, headline chasing, etc).

If You Are “Young”

“Young” means you are 5 years away from retirement. You are generally in the asset growth mode. Divide your investment into 3 buckets, and assign certain weight (percentages) to each bucket. If you are not sure, just assign 33.3% each.

  • Broad market ETF: VOO (Vanguard S&P 500), VTI (Vanguard total market index)
  • Growth ETF: QQQM (Nasdaq 100), VUG (Vanguard growth)
  • Value/dividend ETF: SCHD (Charles-Schwab Dividend), VYM (Vanguard high dividend), DGRO (iShares Core Dividend)

Feel free to pick’n’choose, and even add more of your favorites to each bucket list, but the key is to stick with the bucket-based asset allocation strategy and the pre-defined percentages.

On-going maintenance is easy:

  • Re-balance the portfolio to the preset percentages once a year or twice a year.
  • If you need money, sell from the bucket that exceeds the preset limit.
  • If you have money to invest, buy into the bucket that is under the preset limit.

If you do this consistently for over 10 years, something amazing happens:

  • You have very few things to do, no research, not many trading. Very suitable for lazy people.
  • Your portfolio will almost certainly perform better than general market (e.g., against VOO or VTI), which also means it performs better than 85% of all mutual funds.
  • As a result, you sleep better in the night and you smile better.

If you want to dig deeper, see this video for some insight on the so-called 3-fund portfolio (or 3-bucket strategy in my case). It also have suggestions on assigning the percentages for each bucket.

If You Are “Old”

“Old” means you are retiring in 2 years or have already retired. In this case a 4th bucket becomes very important, the income generation ETF.

Why? Income ETF does not give you better total return over the time. But it gives better night sleeps by avoiding the really bad years, while also losing some spectacular years at the same time. For retirees, that is a good trade-off.

I recommend you allocate this bucket large enough to cover your 50% to 80% of your living expenses. The remaining money can follow some variations of the above 3-bucket strategy.

I have researched and rated some income generation ETF funds. The ones I like right now include:

  • JEPI, JEPQ, GPIX, GPIQ, SPYI, QQQI, XYLD, O, SPYD

In general you should be able to generate ~8% income while preserving or slightly growing underlying capital.

If you want to dig deeper, the following youtubers have influenced me or share some similar ideas or offer more insights in this topic:

Some Misc Notes

  • Don’t fall into Roth IRA conversion trap. It is usually worse than it sounds.
  • Also don’t believe that it is always better to delay your social security benefits. I did an analysis, which shows maybe you should claim your benefits as early as 62.

Delay Social Security Benefit until Full Retirement Age? Not really!

I keep hearing from so-called professional urging to delay claiming social security benefits until full retirement age, which is 67 right now, or later. The argument is that doing so would maximize the total benefit one receives over the life time. However, no one seems to care about the income gap this strategy creates during the delaying years. If someone needs to use those money, will the person go on borrowing a loan, or selling stock or withdrawing from IRA/Roth IRA to make up the difference? If so, is delaying benefits still a good strategy given lost opportunities or penalties in filling the gap?

So I set out to do a study, with the help of ChatGPT:

  • Assume all social security benefits are used to invest, with certain total return rate.
  • Then we calculate the total net worth at death assuming different starting ages to claim the benefit with respect to different death ages.
  • Re-examine the above with different total return rate in investment

The Base Case: 8% return, death age 85

The monthly benefit is assumed to $700, although it does not really matter since the total net worth scale proportionally and this amount will not affect the findings about optimal starting. In below calculation, social security benefit is deposited monthly, and investment value is compounded monthly as well.

Below the table to calculate the total net worth at death w.r.t. different starting ages.

We can see that from age 62 to 70, the total amount collected from Social Security is increasing, which is the basis for some to argue the delayed claim. However, in this case we see the compounding investment return is more pronounced for earlier claims and yield more total net worth at the age 85.

Extending the Death Age, 70-100

We now extend our consideration about the death age from 70 to 100, with 5 year jump in-between. Below table lists the optimal starting with respect to various death ages.

Death ageBest start ageNet worth at death
7062$93,708
7562$191,044
8062$336,060
8562$552,112
9062$873,995
9562$1,353,552
10062$2,068,017

Again, the optimal starting is 62 consistent across the board for all death ages.

Extending with Different Return Rates

We now consider 4 possible return rates, 4%, 6%, 8%, and 10%. The optimal starting ages and total net worth at death are listed in below 2 tables

optimal starting age for social security benefits
total net worth at death

Conclusion

Unless you live long and your investment return is low, start claiming SS benefits early!